
India does not have a deep tech capital problem; it has a deep tech capital structure problem
Devendra Agrawal, CFA
Founder
Sanjiv Bajaj's announcement (to invest Rs 1,500-2,000 crore over the next five years in AI-led innovation startups through their new "FinServ Intelligence") gave me a fresh data point to underscore what I have been saying for long. India does not have a deep-tech capital problem. India has a deep-tech capital structure problem.
We tell ourselves Indian deep tech is starved because there is not enough money in the system. Look at the numbers:
- Indian venture capital deployed roughly $16 billion in 2025.
- Consumer tech alone took $5.4 billion of that.
- Fintech, SaaS, and consumer internet together captured over 60%.
- Core deep tech, the space, materials, advanced hardware, semiconductor category, stayed below 5%.
So the money exists. It just refuses to sit in deep tech. The reason is not bias. It is arithmetic. A typical VC fund has a 10-year life. The fund needs to return capital to its LPs inside that window. Which means portfolio companies need to either exit or show real revenue within 5 to 7 years.
Now look at deep tech.
* A semiconductor startup needs 8 to 12 years to reach commercial production.
* A drug discovery platform needs 10 to 15 years.
* A quantum computing company needs 15 to 20.
* A defence-tech company is on a 20-year horizon if it works.
VC funds cannot bet on these timelines and still pay their LPs. So they do not. This is not greed. It is structure. That leaves exactly one class of capital that can hold a deep-tech bet for 15 years: balance-sheet capital from a conglomerate that does not need to exit. This is exactly what Bajaj Finserv just committed.
- ₹1,500 to ₹2,000 crore over five years. Deployed seed to Series B. Sitting on the cap table for as long as needed.
- No fund expiry. No LP redemption clock. No exit pressure on a calendar.
This is structurally different from any VC cheque. The US solved this problem 40 years ago through a mix of DARPA, corporate R&D, and university tech transfer. China solved it in the last 15 years through state-owned tech funds, BAT venture arms, and policy banks. India has tried to solve it almost entirely through VC. And VC, by structure, cannot solve it. Not alone.
If Tata, Reliance, Adani, Birla, JSW, and Mahindra, and so many more of these giants each set up the equivalent of what Bajaj Group has announced, India would have, almost overnight, the patient deep-tech corpus we have never had. The cheque size does not need to be enormous. The cheque shape needs to be different.
Bajaj has shown the shape. Now let us hope that many more of such announcements follow in the coming weeks and months!
